Alan Greenblatt is a GOVERNING correspondent.
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Voting Early If Not Often
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My old buddy Michael McDonald of George Mason University and the Brookings Institution -- by which I mean we've appeared on several conference panels together -- is runn ing a Web site to track the count of early voters by state.
At the moment his site shows that more than 12.6 million people have voted already, a number equal to 10 percent of the 2004 electorate.
The number is much higher in key states such as Colorado (814,000 voters, or 38 percent as many who voted in 2004); Florida (2.1 million; 27 percent); Nevada (331,000; 40 percent); New Mexico (97,000; 37 percent); and North Carolina (1.4 million; 40 percent).
McDonald also breaks out a few key jurisdictions.
This all makes it harder, of course, for McCain to pull a Truman and come through with a late win. As Pew points out in a new poll release today:
Just as ominous for the Republican candidate, Obama holds a 53% to 34% lead among the sizable minority of voters (15%) who say they have already voted. Among those who plan to vote early but have not yet voted (16% of voters), 56% support Obama, while 37% support McCain.
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