VA-GOV: Deeds Leads

Public Policy Polling has a new survey that shows Creigh Deeds surging ahead: With a week to go until the Democratic primary for Governor in ...
by | June 3, 2009

Deeds Public Policy Polling has a new survey that shows Creigh Deeds surging ahead:

With a week to go until the Democratic primary for Governor in Virginia the state of the race is as muddled as ever, with all three candidates within five points of each other. Creigh Deeds has a slight lead with 27%, followed by Terry McAuliffe at 24%, and Brian Moran at 22%. All three candidates are within each other's margins of error and if the election was today any of the trio could plausibly finish first or last.

Nevertheless the momentum continues to be on Deeds' side. Over the last month he has gone from 14% to 20% to 27% in the polls while McAuliffe has dropped from 30% to 29% to 24% and Moran has pretty much stayed in place, polling twice at 20% and now up to 22%.

Though the big story here is obviously Deeds' gains, it's also striking to me that Moran remains so strong. I had been thinking that there was only room for one anti-McAuliffe candidate in the race -- that Deeds' gain would have been Moran's loss. As it turns out, we have a real three-way contest.

Who, then, has the upper hand?

If I had to name anyone, I'd say McAuliffe. He's the one with the most cash to spend in the final week, as the Washington Post notes:

RICHMOND, June 1 -- Democratic gubernatorial hopeful Terry McAuliffe has amassed far more campaign cash than his rivals, R. Creigh Deeds and Brian Moran, heading into the final frenzied week before next Tuesday's primary.

McAuliffe, a veteran fundraiser with political connections across the country, raised $1.8 million in the two-month period ending Wednesday. His $6.9 million war chest allowed him to start airing TV ads in January and this week expand his TV blitz into the expensive Northern Virginia market.

Moran raised $844,000 during the same period, bringing his total to $4.8 million, according to the Virginia Public Access Project, a nonpartisan group that tracks Virginia political money. Deeds raised $676,000 and pushed his total above $3.8 million.

Josh Goodman
Josh Goodman  |  Former Staff Writer
mailbox@governing.com

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