NC-GOV: Closer Than Expected?

Most analysts have viewed the North Carolina gubernatorial race as leaning toward the Democrats. And, most analysts (including CQ, Larry Sabato, Charlie Cook and Stuart ...
by | July 18, 2008

Most analysts have viewed the North Carolina gubernatorial race as leaning toward the Democrats. And, most analysts (including CQ, Larry Sabato, Charlie Cook and Stuart Rothenberg) have stuck by that view, even though the Republicans nominated their strongest candidate in Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory and even though Lieutenant Governor Bev Perdue only won the Democratic primary after a rather nasty primary.

Well, far be it from me to question the wisdom of the prognosticating community, but a couple of polls this week confirmed that Perdue's lead is of the within-the-margin-of-error variety. Perdue leads by 2.3% in the pollster.com average.

That said, the conventional wisdom is probably right. Perdue has twice as much cash on hand as McCrory, so I'd have to say that she has the edge. Still, for all the potentially competitive gubernatorial races this year, this is only one where I'd be surprised if the winner makes it to 55%.

Josh Goodman
Josh Goodman  |  Former Staff Writer
mailbox@governing.com  | 

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