In California, a Prop. 8 Reprise?
California appears increasingly likely to vote again on gay marriage sooner rather than later, as ABC News reports: Same-sex marriage backers in California, anticipating a ...
California appears increasingly likely to vote again on gay marriage sooner rather than later, as ABC News reports:Same-sex marriage backers in California, anticipating a loss in court, are preparing to make their case at the ballot box in 2010 rather than waiting until 2012.
So is this the right move by gay marriage supporters? The case for waiting until 2012 is that support for gay marriage has been building over time. Given that last year's gay marriage ban only received 52% of the vote, a couple more years might be significant.
What's more, sometimes voters get annoyed if they feel they're being forced to vote on the same topic over and over again. That may have been a factor in the flop of a ballot measure to restrict abortion in South Dakota last year, which was similar to something the state had voted on in 2006.
Still, I think this is the right call. The 2012 election would be likely to draw more blacks and Hispanics to the polls than the 2010 midterm. Those groups typically support Democrats, but they also tend to oppose gay marriage -- and helped pass Prop. 8's gay marriage ban.
Plus, if the gay marriage measure fails in 2010 (or even if it succeeds), who says the state can't vote again on the topic two years later?
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