South Dakota Abortion Ban: The Counties to Watch
When South Dakota voted on a ballot measure to ban abortion two years ago, it fell short, receiving 44.7% of the vote. This year, South Dakotans ...
When South Dakota voted on a ballot measure to ban abortion two years ago, it fell short, receiving 44.7% of the vote. This year, South Dakotans will once again weigh in on an abortion ban, with supporters hoping that the new exceptions they've added -- for rape, incest and the health of the mother -- will push the proposal over the top.
That vote two years ago makes it pretty easy to know which counties to watch on Tuesday. If a county gave the abortion ban close to 44.7% of the vote in 2006, there's a good chance that its results will mirror the statewide total this time around too.
Five counties gave the 2006 measure between 44% and 45% of the vote. They were Jackson (44.0%), Harding (44.1%), Clark (44.1%), Union (44.7%) and Brown (44.8%). As the returns come in, I'll be keeping an eye on whether the "yes" vote is hitting 50% in these counties.
These places aren't all created equal. Their populations range from over 35,000 (in Brown County, where Aberdeen is located) to barely more than 1,000 (in Harding County). Even a small place, however, can be an indicator of the statewide result.
South Dakota's most populous county, Minnehaha County, will actually also be a pretty good bellwether. Minnehaha, home to Sioux Falls, gave the 2006 abortion ban 43.3% of the vote, slightly below its statewide performance. So, if the measure is passing in Minnehaha on Tuesday, that will be pretty strong indication that it is going to win statewide.
Previously in the Counties to Watch series: Washington governor
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
Why There Will Be Fewer Feds Monitoring the Polls This Year12 hours ago
Obama Makes Unprecedented Endorsements Down the Ballot13 hours ago
New York Negotiates National Settlement to Make Addiction-Fighting Drugs Easier to Get13 hours ago
Trump's Message Clashes With GOP's Most Endangered Governor14 hours ago
28,000 Register to Vote After Virginia Deadline Extended Because of Website Problems14 hours ago
Minneapolis Officers Face No Discipline for Fatal Shooting of Jamar Clark14 hours ago