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Toss Ups in Several Montana Statewide Races

BY: | October 15, 2012



Public Policy Polling's new poll of the Montana governor's race finds some momentum
for Republican Rick Hill over the last month. He now holds the slightest of leads over Attorney General Steve Bullock, 43-42. He had trailed 44-39 a month ago. Libertarian Ron Vandevender
and independent Bill Coate are each polling at 4 percent.

Bullock remains a good deal more popular personally than Hill with 44 percent of voters rating
him positively to 28 percent with a negative opinion. Hill's favorability has improved a net 3
points over the last month but that still leaves him under water at a 37/41 spread. The
movement in this race over the last few weeks probably has more to do with the
deterioration for Democrats in the state overall following Barack Obama's poor debate
performance than anything to do with the candidates themselves.

Closeness is the name of the game in several of the other Montana statewide races as
well. Democratic Superintendent of Public Instruction Denise Juneau leads Republican
challenger Sandy Welch just 41-40. It's a similar story in the Secretary of State contest
where Democrat Linda McCulloch is at 42 percent to 41 percent for Republican Brad Johnson and
8 percent for Libertarian Roger Roots.

There are two other races where there's a pretty clear leader right now. Republican Tim
Fox has a 45-35 lead over Pam Bucy in the open seat race for Attorney General. And
Democratic incumbent Monica Lindeen leads Republican challenger Derek Skees 44-37
for reelection as Auditor.

Montana's "corporations are not people" amendment continues to lead for passage. 52 percent of
voters say they will support it to 22 percent who are opposed. Democrats (71/12) and
independents (59/17) overwhelmingly support it, while Republicans (28/35) are slightly
opposed.

Brian Schweitzer has his usual solid approval numbers this month with 54 percent of voters
approving of him to 36 percent who disapprove.

PPP surveyed 737 likely Montana voters from October 8th to 10th. The margin of error
for the survey is +/-3.6 percent This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or
political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
 


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