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2018 State Elections Forecast

Louis Jacobson, Politifact senior correspondent and Governing contributor, makes his predictions based on consultations with multiple experts in the states as well as national party strategists.

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Last Updated November 5 at 12:45 p.m. EST

 
Louis Jacobson, Politifact senior correspondent and Governing contributor, tracks every statewide race for governor, secretary of state, attorney general, and House and Senate.

He makes his predictions based on consultations with multiple experts in the states as well as national party strategists.

As it stands, Republicans hold the majority of every office -- with 33 governors, 27 attorneys general, 28 secretaries of state, 36 senate chambers and 31 house chambers.

And for a full summary of November's most important ballot measures, click here.

 


Governor: 36 seats at stake

 
No Election  
Safe Democratic  
Likely Democratic  
Lean Democratic
 
Tossup  
Safe Republican  
Likely Republican  
Lean Republican



 
For a detailed analysis of what's happening in each state's race for governor, click here.

 

Attorney General: 30 seats at stake

 
No Election  
Safe Democratic  
Likely Democratic  
Lean Democratic
 
Tossup  
Safe Republican  
Likely Republican  
Lean Republican



 
For a detailed analysis of what's happening in each state's race for attorney general, click here.

 

Secretary of State: 26 seats at stake

 
No Election  
Safe Democratic  
Likely Democratic  
Lean Democratic
 
Tossup  
Safe Republican  
Likely Republican  
Lean Republican



 
For a detailed analysis of what's happening in each state's race for secretary of state, click here.

 

House of Representatives: 45 chambers at stake

 
No Election  
Safe Democratic  
Likely Democratic  
Lean Democratic
 
Tossup  
Safe Republican  
Likely Republican  
Lean Republican



 
For a detailed analysis of what's happening in each state's race for state House, click here.

 

Senate: 42 chambers at stake

 
No Election  
Safe Democratic  
Likely Democratic  
Lean Democratic
 
Tossup  
Safe Republican  
Likely Republican  
Lean Republican



 
For a detailed analysis of what's happening in each state's race for state Senate, click here.

 
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