Toss Ups in Several Montana Statewide Races

Public Policy Polling's new poll of the Montana Governor's race finds some momentum for Republican Rick Hill over the last month.
by | October 15, 2012

Public Policy Polling's new poll of the Montana governor's race finds some momentum

for Republican Rick Hill over the last month. He now holds the slightest of leads over Attorney General Steve Bullock, 43-42. He had trailed 44-39 a month ago. Libertarian Ron Vandevender

and independent Bill Coate are each polling at 4 percent.

Bullock remains a good deal more popular personally than Hill with 44 percent of voters rating

him positively to 28 percent with a negative opinion. Hill's favorability has improved a net 3

points over the last month but that still leaves him under water at a 37/41 spread. The

movement in this race over the last few weeks probably has more to do with the

deterioration for Democrats in the state overall following Barack Obama's poor debate

performance than anything to do with the candidates themselves.

Closeness is the name of the game in several of the other Montana statewide races as

well. Democratic Superintendent of Public Instruction Denise Juneau leads Republican

challenger Sandy Welch just 41-40. It's a similar story in the Secretary of State contest

where Democrat Linda McCulloch is at 42 percent to 41 percent for Republican Brad Johnson and

8 percent for Libertarian Roger Roots.

There are two other races where there's a pretty clear leader right now. Republican Tim

Fox has a 45-35 lead over Pam Bucy in the open seat race for Attorney General. And

Democratic incumbent Monica Lindeen leads Republican challenger Derek Skees 44-37

for reelection as Auditor.

Montana's "corporations are not people" amendment continues to lead for passage. 52 percent of

voters say they will support it to 22 percent who are opposed. Democrats (71/12) and

independents (59/17) overwhelmingly support it, while Republicans (28/35) are slightly


Brian Schweitzer has his usual solid approval numbers this month with 54 percent of voters

approving of him to 36 percent who disapprove.

PPP surveyed 737 likely Montana voters from October 8th to 10th. The margin of error

for the survey is +/-3.6 percent This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or

political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Public Policy Polling  |  Public Policy Polling

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