Several demographic shifts underway for years now have led the nation to become increasingly diverse, with the most recent Census Bureau projections suggesting the country will become majority-minority by 2044.

For many individual states, the tipping point is slated to occur much sooner. Updated data released by the Census Bureau Thursday depict population changes for various demographic groups in states and counties.

California, Hawaii, New Mexico and Texas are the only states where minorities, or those not identifying themselves as non-Hispanic whites, already make up the majority of the population. The latest estimates suggest the next states in line to surpass this threshold are Nevada (48.5 percent minority), Maryland (47.4 percent minority) and Georgia (45.7 percent minority).

Since 2010, the minority share of the population has increased in every state with the exception of Hawaii, along with the District of Columbia, which has seen its white population grow faster than blacks. Nowhere is the shift more evident than Nevada, where the minority share of the population has increased faster than any other state (+2.7 percentage points) and all major minority groups have expanded.

This map shows how the minority share of the population is increasing, with states experiencing the fastest shifts shaded dark green. (Figures shown may not add up due to rounding.)

  It’s hard to say precisely when each state will become majority-minority given all the variables subject to change. One report that did attempt to project state minority populations was published earlier this year by the Center for American Progress, the American Enterprise Institute and the Brookings Institution. After Nevada and Maryland, researchers determined that Arizona, Florida, Georgia and New Jersey would pass the milestone in the 2020s. By 2060, the study reported minorities will account for the majority of residents in 22 states that make up two-thirds of the total population.

Minorities already account for the majority of babies, attributable in part to growth among Hispanics, who have high birth rates. The white population is projected to grow at a fairly slow rate for another decade or so, when it will start to decline.

State Population Data

The following table shows the share of the total population for non-Hispanic whites, Hispanics, African Americans and Asians in each state. Estimates are current as of July 1, 2014.

State 2014 Minority Share % White % Hispanic % Black % Asian
District of Columbia 64.2% 35.8% 10.4% 47.4% 3.9%
Hawaii 77.0% 23.0% 10.1% 2.2% 36.4%
South Carolina 36.1% 63.9% 5.4% 27.3% 1.5%
West Virginia 7.5% 92.5% 1.5% 3.5% 0.8%
Maine 6.2% 93.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2%
Mississippi 42.7% 57.3% 3.0% 37.2% 1.0%
Michigan 24.2% 75.8% 4.8% 13.9% 2.8%
Vermont 6.5% 93.5% 1.8% 1.1% 1.5%
Alabama 33.8% 66.2% 4.1% 26.4% 1.3%
Missouri 19.9% 80.1% 4.0% 11.6% 1.9%
Kentucky 14.6% 85.4% 3.4% 8.0% 1.3%
Tennessee 25.4% 74.6% 5.0% 16.8% 1.7%
Louisiana 40.7% 59.3% 4.8% 32.1% 1.7%
Ohio 19.9% 80.1% 3.5% 12.3% 2.0%
Montana 13.3% 86.7% 3.5% 0.5% 0.8%
Colorado 31.0% 69.0% 21.2% 3.9% 3.0%
Wisconsin 17.8% 82.2% 6.5% 6.3% 2.6%
New Hampshire 8.7% 91.3% 3.3% 1.3% 2.5%
Arkansas 26.6% 73.4% 7.0% 15.4% 1.4%
Utah 20.7% 79.3% 13.5% 1.1% 2.3%
Idaho 17.2% 82.8% 12.0% 0.7% 1.3%
North Carolina 35.9% 64.1% 9.0% 21.4% 2.6%
Indiana 19.7% 80.3% 6.6% 9.2% 2.0%
Illinois 37.7% 62.3% 16.7% 14.2% 5.2%
Kansas 23.2% 76.8% 11.4% 5.9% 2.7%
Oregon 23.0% 77.0% 12.5% 1.8% 4.1%
Iowa 12.9% 87.1% 5.6% 3.3% 2.2%
Georgia 45.7% 54.3% 9.3% 30.7% 3.8%
Nebraska 19.5% 80.5% 10.2% 4.6% 2.1%
Pennsylvania 22.1% 77.9% 6.6% 10.7% 3.2%
South Dakota 17.0% 83.0% 3.6% 1.8% 1.2%
Minnesota 18.6% 81.4% 5.1% 5.7% 4.6%
Oklahoma 33.0% 67.0% 9.8% 7.4% 2.0%
Arizona 43.8% 56.2% 30.5% 4.1% 3.0%
Delaware 36.3% 63.7% 8.9% 21.2% 3.7%
New Mexico 61.1% 38.9% 47.7% 1.9% 1.4%
Virginia 36.9% 63.1% 8.9% 19.0% 6.2%
California 61.5% 38.5% 38.6% 5.7% 13.8%
Wyoming 15.9% 84.1% 9.8% 1.4% 0.9%
Texas 56.5% 43.5% 38.6% 11.7% 4.4%
New York 43.5% 56.5% 18.6% 14.6% 8.3%
Maryland 47.4% 52.6% 9.3% 29.3% 6.3%
Florida 44.2% 55.8% 24.1% 15.6% 2.7%
Washington 29.6% 70.4% 12.2% 3.7% 8.0%
Alaska 38.1% 61.9% 6.8% 3.6% 5.9%
North Dakota 13.4% 86.6% 3.2% 2.0% 1.2%
Rhode Island 25.5% 74.5% 14.0% 5.6% 3.4%
Massachusetts 25.7% 74.3% 10.8% 6.8% 6.2%
New Jersey 43.2% 56.8% 19.3% 12.9% 9.3%
Connecticut 31.2% 68.8% 15.0% 9.9% 4.4%
Nevada 48.5% 51.5% 27.8% 8.2% 7.9%

SOURCE: Governing calculations of Annual Estimates of the Resident Population, U.S. Census Bureau