Why Were the New Hampshire Polls Wrong?
Mark Blumenthal at pollster.com has a fascinating post looking at why the pre-election surveys didn't anticipate Hillary Clinton's victory in the New Hampshire Democratic ...
Mark Blumenthal at pollster.com has a fascinating post looking at why the pre-election surveys didn't anticipate Hillary Clinton's victory in the New Hampshire Democratic primary.
When you consider all the competing theories (the perils of weekend polling, incorrect likely voter models, low response rates, oversampling of independents, the Bradley effect, etc.), the most remarkable thing is that the polls usually get it right.
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
The Week in Public Finance: College Ain't Cheap, Green Bond Fever and Job Problems2 days ago
The Other Problem with Guns: Lead Poisoning13 hours ago
Common Core Revolt Goes Local19 hours ago
Alaska Congressman Blames Government Handouts for Suicide19 hours ago
Tracing Ebola in a Hyper-Connected City of 8 Million20 hours ago
The 3 States Not Backing Down Against Gay Marriage20 hours ago