Josh Goodman is a former staff writer for GOVERNING..
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Why Were the New Hampshire Polls Wrong?
Mark Blumenthal at pollster.com has a fascinating post looking at why the pre-election surveys didn't anticipate Hillary Clinton's victory in the New Hampshire Democratic primary.
When you consider all the competing theories (the perils of weekend polling, incorrect likely voter models, low response rates, oversampling of independents, the Bradley effect, etc.), the most remarkable thing is that the polls usually get it right.
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Written and compiled by staff writers and editors, GOVERNING View is an on-the-ground, and sometimes behind-the-scenes, look at the topics we're covering in print and online. From notes on what's up in statehouses, county courthouses and city halls, to encounters with people, places and things, GOVERNING View is a window into the side of state and local government you don't always see.
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