Why Were the New Hampshire Polls Wrong?
Mark Blumenthal at pollster.com has a fascinating post looking at why the pre-election surveys didn't anticipate Hillary Clinton's victory in the New Hampshire Democratic ...
Mark Blumenthal at pollster.com has a fascinating post looking at why the pre-election surveys didn't anticipate Hillary Clinton's victory in the New Hampshire Democratic primary.
When you consider all the competing theories (the perils of weekend polling, incorrect likely voter models, low response rates, oversampling of independents, the Bradley effect, etc.), the most remarkable thing is that the polls usually get it right.
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
Obama Helps Alaskans Help Themselves Fight Climate Change2 hours ago
The State That's Simultaneously Fighting and Embracing Obama's Climate Rules2 hours ago
Christie Attempts to Block Obama's Climate Rules1 hour ago
Anti-Union Illinois Governor Wins Major Labor Battle1 hour ago
6 Baltimore Officers in Freddie Gray Case to Be Tried Separately1 hour ago
Missouri Auditor Makes Unfair Court Practices a Priority1 hour ago