Josh Goodman is a former staff writer for GOVERNING..E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
The survey asked how respondents would vote if a new constitutional amendment allowing same-sex marriage qualified for a future ballot.
They essentially split on the issue with 48 percent saying they would vote to allow gay marriage, 47 percent saying they would vote against it, and 5 percent undecided.
Since Prop. 8 passed, California has seen a backlash against the result, then a backlash against the backlash and then a backlash against the backlash to the backlash. But, if you suspected that opinions on gay marriage are changing gradually and not as the result of today's news or yesterday's news, you'd be right.
The California Supreme Court seems likely to uphold Prop. 8, making a new ballot measure on gay marriage in California a near certainty. It would be foolish to predict which side will win, but I'd be shocked if the vote wasn't close.
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