Josh Goodman is a former staff writer for GOVERNING..
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Surprise, Suprise: Californians Split on Gay Marriage
Sometimes a poll can be interesting even when its finding is completely predictable. The Sacramento Bee has latest on gay marriage in California: Four months after the passage of Proposition 8, a new opinion poll
released today shows California voters almost evenly divided over
same-sex marriage but significantly more accepting of it than just
three years ago.
...
...
The survey asked how respondents would vote if a new constitutional amendment allowing same-sex marriage qualified for a future ballot.
They essentially split on the issue with 48 percent saying they would vote to allow gay marriage, 47 percent saying they would vote against it, and 5 percent undecided.
Since Prop. 8 passed, California has seen a backlash against the result, then a backlash against the backlash and then a backlash against the backlash to the backlash. But, if you suspected that opinions on gay marriage are changing gradually and not as the result of today's news or yesterday's news, you'd be right.
The California Supreme Court seems likely to uphold Prop. 8, making a new ballot measure on gay marriage in California a near certainty. It would be foolish to predict which side will win, but I'd be shocked if the vote wasn't close.
Twitter: @governing
GOVERNING Politics is the place for news and analysis on campaigns and elections. If there's a ballot measure in California, a legislative election in Alabama, a mayoral election in Anchorage or a governor's race in Rhode Island, GOVERNING Politics probably is writing about it. We love everything about state and local politics, from polls and campaign ads to policy debates and demographic trends.
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