Alan Greenblatt is a GOVERNING correspondent.
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Stateline's Take
Our friends at Stateline.org have posted their big preview piece on the two races for governor this year, in New Jersey and Virginia.
In the 39 states electing governors this year and next, Democrats will defend 21 of those seats, including both 2009 contests. The races will be wide open in at least 20 states in 2010 because incumbents either will retire or are term-limited.
Polls indicate the Democratic gubernatorial candidates have been trailing in both the New Jersey and Virginia races.
...
"If the GOP wins both and wins them big, it will be tough for Democrats to explain them away, given that New Jersey is a solidly blue state and Virginia is trending in that direction," said Tom Schaller, an assistant professor of political science at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County.
GOVERNING Politics is the place for news and analysis on campaigns and elections. If there's a ballot measure in California, a legislative election in Alabama, a mayoral election in Anchorage or a governor's race in Rhode Island, GOVERNING Politics probably is writing about it. We love everything about state and local politics, from polls and campaign ads to policy debates and demographic trends.
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