Alan Greenblatt is a GOVERNING correspondent.E-mail: email@example.com
Martin O'Malley is looking good for a second term as governor of Maryland, despite the downturn and his record as a tax-increaser. The state is, not surprisingly, trending more Democratic than the rest of the country.
Republicans appear to have no candidate with a strong chance and instead are going to spend months waiting anxiously on former Gov. Bob Ehrlich -- the guy O'Malley beat to get the job -- to figure out whether he thinks a rematch is a good option.
Meanwhile, the picture continues to get worse for Democrat David Paterson of New York. A Marist poll just out shows his approval rating continuing to drop -- it's now at just 19 percent. The poll finds that Paterson's performance has made people nostalgic for Eliot Spitzer; a majority wish the disgraced john were still in office, rather than Paterson.
Paterson loses badly to Rudy Giuliani in the poll's speculative general election matchup but runs even when paired up against former Rep. Rick Lazio.
But perhaps the most staggering number is the head-to-head in a possible primary against state Attorney General Andrew Cuomo. According to the poll, Cuomo beats Paterson among Democrats by an embarrassing 70 percent to 22.
I have certainly heard the suggestion that Cuomo can't afford to go up against a second African American in a Democratic primary for governor. And taking on an incumbent of your own party is always tough. But knowing Cuomo and his ambitions, it's hard for me to imagine he'll pass on this chance if Paterson stays in the tank.
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