Predicting by Analogy
This type of analysis seems to me increasingly irrelevant. If it's true that Obama is cutting into Clinton's constituencies, comparisons between states that haven't yet ...
This type of analysis seems to me increasingly irrelevant. If it's true that Obama is cutting into Clinton's constituencies, comparisons between states that haven't yet voted with those that have are bound to prove false.
But since I'm a sucker for this sort of thing anyway, I thought I'd note that Under the Dome asks, is North Carolina more like Virginia or Tennessee?
All three states are part of the so-called "Rim South" -- Southern states that aren't part of the Deep South but aren't Northern either.
UNC-Charlotte politics professor Ted Arrington said that Obama could see similarities with Virginia, which he won handily: A large military presence, a mid-sized black population, strong urban centers such as Richmond and Charlotte.
On the other hand, Hillary Clinton could see parallels to Tennessee, which she won: A strong agricultural area, similar capital cities, a mid-sized black population and clusters of retirees in the mountains.
Arrington said that Obama will likely win in three Congressional districts with larger black populations represented by Reps. Mel Watt, G.K. Butterfield and Mike McIntyre.
"If they split the vote statewide, the other 10 districts would very likely go to Clinton," he said.
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
Bloomberg and Harvard Team Up to Train Mayors1 hour ago
Labor Department Makes It Easier for States to Launch Retirement Plans for Private Workers1 hour ago
Back-to-School Tax Holidays Losing Popularity Among Lawmakers2 hours ago
Judge Bars UNC From Enforcing Transgender Bathroom Restrictions2 hours ago
U.S. Judge Dismisses Housing Segregation Lawsuit Against Texas2 hours ago
In Boston’s ‘Safe Space,’ Surprising Insights Into Drug Highs3 hours ago