In Maine, a Gay Marriage Toss Up
Finally, at long last, we have some fresh polling on the Maine vote on gay marriage this fall. However, the DailyKos/Research 2000 poll doesn't ...
Finally, at long last, we have some fresh polling on the Maine vote on gay marriage this fall. However, the DailyKos/Research 2000 poll doesn't clarify much -- it shows Maine voters rejecting gay marriage 48%-46%, well within the margin of error.
(Hat tip: Political Wire)
This is about where I'd expect this contest to be. I say that because Maine is similar (politically) to California, where a gay marriage ban passed with 52% of the vote last year.
In recent presidential elections, California has been a bit more Democratic than Maine. President Obama received 61% of the vote in California and 58% of the vote in Maine.
On the other hand, Maine has a slightly more liberal electorate. In the 2008 exit poll, 25% of Californians described themselves as liberals, 44% were moderates and 30% were conservatives. In Maine, the figures were 27%, 44% and 29%, respectively.
Add it all up and the election should be very close, though the most likely result is the same one that we saw in California -- a narrow victory for opponents of gay marriage.
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
Portland Tried to Change How It Teaches Climate Change -- and a Firestorm Erupted5 hours ago
Ferguson Loses Another City Official4 hours ago
Conspiracy Theorist Loses Race for Influential Education Gig in Texas4 hours ago
In Voter ID Case That Could Impact Other States, Texas Defends Its Law3 hours ago
Arkansas Finds More Money for Highways57 minutes ago
LGBT Battle Underscores the Powerlessness of Being Governor in North Carolina6 hours ago