History Working Against Dems in 2010
Everyone knows that the president's party usually loses seats in Congress in midterm elections. But, I didn't know about the trend in gubernatorial ...
Everyone knows that the president's party usually loses seats in Congress in midterm elections. But, I didn't know about the trend in gubernatorial elections until Larry Sabato recently took a look at midterm elections since 1946:
As you can see, in these sixteen midterm elections over sixty years, the President's party added governorships only twice, in 1946 and 1986. In two other elections (1962 and 1998), there was no net change. But in twelve cases (75% of the time), the president's party lost gubernatorial berths. The losses ranged from just one for George W. Bush in 2002 to ten for Bill Clinton in 1994 and eleven for Richard Nixon in 1970. On average, the President's party lost four governorships in the midterm election year. (We are not including presidential election years since a mere eleven states now hold statehouse battles to coincide with White House contests.)
The benchmark of "minus four" will be useful as we approach 2010. Will the Democrats exceed that number or beat the odds?
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
You Voted Where? Unusual Polling Places in America4 hours ago
How Are States Using Welfare Funding? Often, Not to Help People Work.14 hours ago
Google Fiber Pauses Plans to Expand to More Cities15 hours ago
Obama Tells Pentagon to Speed Up Review of National Guard Bonuses16 hours ago
In Maine, Winning the Lottery Now Means Losing Food Stamps17 hours ago
Amid His Re-Election, Anti-Immigrant Sheriff Arpaio Slapped With Criminal Charges18 hours ago