History Working Against Dems in 2010
Everyone knows that the president's party usually loses seats in Congress in midterm elections. But, I didn't know about the trend in gubernatorial ...
Everyone knows that the president's party usually loses seats in Congress in midterm elections. But, I didn't know about the trend in gubernatorial elections until Larry Sabato recently took a look at midterm elections since 1946:
As you can see, in these sixteen midterm elections over sixty years, the President's party added governorships only twice, in 1946 and 1986. In two other elections (1962 and 1998), there was no net change. But in twelve cases (75% of the time), the president's party lost gubernatorial berths. The losses ranged from just one for George W. Bush in 2002 to ten for Bill Clinton in 1994 and eleven for Richard Nixon in 1970. On average, the President's party lost four governorships in the midterm election year. (We are not including presidential election years since a mere eleven states now hold statehouse battles to coincide with White House contests.)
The benchmark of "minus four" will be useful as we approach 2010. Will the Democrats exceed that number or beat the odds?
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
Texas May Increase the Number of Toll Roads in the State5 hours ago
Many Places Tax 'Summer People' Different from 'Townies'5 hours ago
Income Growth Varies Widely Across States5 hours ago
NYC Adds Cultural Benefits to Incentivize Undocumented to Get ID Cards8 hours ago
Obamacare Enrollment Drops Slightly8 hours ago
Christie Blasts Bridgegate Investigation8 hours ago