Few Surprises in Gubernatorial Races So Far
The nation’s gubernatorial races have mostly kept to script tonight. But there may be a few surprises in Connecticut, Vermont and more.
The nation’s gubernatorial races have mostly kept to script tonight, with only a few surprises.
The biggest surprise –- though the night is far from over – is the possibility that Republican Tom Foley could defeat Democrat Dan Malloy to maintain the GOP’s longstanding hold on the Connecticut governorship. Malloy had been considered a small favorite until the past few days, when Foley appeared to edge up in the polls.
Another potential surprise is a Republican victory in otherwise liberal Vermont. The Democrats were hoping to flip the GOP-held open seat, but Republican Brian Dubie was slightly leading Democrat Peter Shumlin. But many votes remain to be counted.
The other big surprise is the possible victory of not one, but two Independents: Eliot Cutler in Maine and Lincoln Chafee in Rhode Island. Both are leading, but as of 11:30 p.m., neither race was called.
Several tossup races were as tight as expected. In Florida, Republican Rick Scott was holding a narrow but consistent lead over Democrat Alex Sink. In Ohio, John Kasich was holding a narrow lead over Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland. In Illinois, Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn was locked in a tight race against Republican Bill Brady.
The Democrats did win some races that were considered close going into Election Day, including Massachusetts (where incumbent Deval Patrick prevailed) and New Hampshire (where incumbent John Lynch won). Democrats also were holding a healthy lead in Minnesota, where Mark Dayton was poised to seize a GOP-held seat.
The key to the Democrats avoiding massive losses was their ability to flip Republican seats, in order to offset expected losses elsewhere. The Democrats did appear to succeed in that task in California and possibly Minnesota, but the plan is running into trouble in Connecticut, Vermont, Rhode Island and Florida.
This suggests that Republican gains could end up on the higher end of the scale than predicted, perhaps a net change of 10 seats.
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
Will Florida Gay Couples Really Be Able to Marry on January 6?2 days ago
Somerville, Mass., Will Issue 'Scarlett Letters' for Unshoveled Sidewalks2 days ago
The Week in Public Finance: Traffic Cam Drama, Retiree Healthcare and Another D.C. Shoutout2 days ago
Supreme Court Rules Arizona Must Issue Driver's Licenses to Immigrants2 days ago
The Woman Obama Picked to Improve Police Relationships with the Public2 days ago
Ferguson's Inequality Fight Moves into the Courtroom2 days ago