Do Mayoral Endorsements Work?
Brian Weatherson makes a surprising argument: After the Super Tuesday primaries in the U.S., there was a lot of discussion that various big-name endorsements ...
Brian Weatherson makes a surprising argument:
After the Super Tuesday primaries in the U.S., there was a lot of discussion that various big-name endorsements seem to have not made much difference. Most notably, despite being endorsed by Governor Patrick and Senators Kennedy and Kerry, Barack Obama got beaten heavily in Massachusetts. But what struck me at the time, and what seems to have been confirmed by subsequent contests, is that (at least in Democratic primaries) mayoral endorsements seem to make an enormous difference in the campaign. Not only does the candidate with the most endorsements seem to routinely win, they seem to outperform their poll numbers.
I just looked at gubernatorial endorsements and found that they usually don't make much of a difference.
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