California, Prepare to Borrow

The Sacramento Bee has a story up predicting low turnout for next Tuesday's special election, when California voters will decide the fate of a ...
by | May 13, 2009

Data The Sacramento Bee has a story up predicting low turnout for next Tuesday's special election, when California voters will decide the fate of a package of ballot measures meant to ratify the state's cobbled-together budget deal.

Not only will turnout be small, but it's expected to be disproportionately old and Republican.

"This is going to be a 'Tea Party' turnout with everybody who's angry about taxes, and that's a big advantage for the 'no' side," said Bill Carrick, a Democratic strategist unaffiliated with the campaigns.

If the measures fail, the state will be caught about $20 billion short. All but one of the six measures is expected to go down. The one exception is a ban on pay increases for state legislators during deficit years.

Despite the obvious populist appeal of that idea, I predict it will go down to defeat as well, with voters just saying no to everything.

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