Josh Goodman is a former staff writer for GOVERNING..E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
Sullivan scored 43% of the vote. Though absentees still need to be counted, he appears very unlikely to reach 45%. Eric Croft, a former state representative and a Democrat, came in a distant second with around 20% of the vote.
Despite the big gap between the top two contenders, the runoff should be considered something close to a toss-up. The three leading Democrats in the field (Croft, Sheila Selkregg and Matt Claman) combined for 41% of the vote, scoring only 660 fewer votes than Sullivan.
The race may hinge on who the supporters of Walt Monegan (8.8% of the vote) and Paul Honeman (4.7% of the vote) end up backing. Reportedly, Monegan won't endorse in the runoff, while Honeman is considering entreaties from both candidates.
By the way, in the two Wisconsin races I mentioned yesterday, both the establishment candidates with Democratic support triumphed over their more conservative challengers.
GOVERNING Politics is the place for news and analysis on campaigns and elections. If there's a ballot measure in California, a legislative election in Alabama, a mayoral election in Anchorage or a governor's race in Rhode Island, GOVERNING Politics probably is writing about it. We love everything about state and local politics, from polls and campaign ads to policy debates and demographic trends.