Josh Goodman is a former staff writer for GOVERNING..
E-mail: mailbox@governing.comTwitter: @governing
Sullivan scored 43% of the vote. Though absentees still need to be counted, he appears very unlikely to reach 45%. Eric Croft, a former state representative and a Democrat, came in a distant second with around 20% of the vote.
Despite the big gap between the top two contenders, the runoff should be considered something close to a toss-up. The three leading Democrats in the field (Croft, Sheila Selkregg and Matt Claman) combined for 41% of the vote, scoring only 660 fewer votes than Sullivan.
The race may hinge on who the supporters of Walt Monegan (8.8% of the vote) and Paul Honeman (4.7% of the vote) end up backing. Reportedly, Monegan won't endorse in the runoff, while Honeman is considering entreaties from both candidates.
By the way, in the two Wisconsin races I mentioned yesterday, both the establishment candidates with Democratic support triumphed over their more conservative challengers.
Josh Goodman is a former staff writer for GOVERNING..
E-mail: mailbox@governing.com 
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