All the Way to the Convention
Even as John McCain all but wraps up the GOP nomination, Paul Kane of The Washington Post suggests that the math on the Democratic side ...
Even as John McCain all but wraps up the GOP nomination, Paul Kane of The Washington Post suggests that the math on the Democratic side points to a brokered convention:
It is now basically mathematically impossible for either Clinton or Obama to win the nomination through the regular voting process (meaning the super-delegates decide this one, baby!).
Here's the math. There are 3,253 pledged delegates, those doled out based on actual voting in primaries and caucuses. And you need 2,025 to win the nomination.
To date, about 55% of those 3,253 delegates have been pledged in the voting process -- with Clinton and Obama roughly splitting them at about 900 delegates apiece.
That means there are now only about 1,400 delegates left up for grabs in the remaining states and territories voting.
So, do the math. If they both have about 900 pledged delegates so far, they need to win more than 1,100 of the remaining 1,400 delegates to win the nomination through actual voting.
Ain't gonna happen, barring a stunning scandal or some new crazy revelation. So, they'll keep fighting this thing out, each accumulating their chunk of delegates, one of them holding a slight edge and bothing finishing the voting process with 1,600 or so delegates.
And then the super delegates decide this thing.
That's the math.
Join the Discussion
After you comment, click Post. You can enter an anonymous Display Name or connect to a social profile.
Who Should Police Municipal Markets?3 hours ago
Some States Ease Privacy Concerns for Young Adults Still on Parents' Health Plan6 hours ago
Day After Oakland Bans Coal Exports, Developer Changes Tone7 hours ago
After Texas Ruling, Supreme Court Refuses Other Abortion Cases8 hours ago
D.C. Schools Chief Stepping Down, Leaving Legacy of Progress8 hours ago
ACLU, Cleveland Agree to Ease Protest Rules at GOP Convention8 hours ago